We’re all gonna die!

Just kidding, of course, yet one must read things like this from NOAA with a heightened awareness for what could happen.

…SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF TORNADOES IN SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS…

AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT…AREAS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE…PARTICULARLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY…INCREASING IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE. AS THE UPPER LOW GETS CLOSER…A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP…RE-ORIENTING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN A NORTH-SOUTH FASHION. EXTRAORDINARY LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY…LOW CLOUD BASES…AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING SOUTHERLY WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE…WILL COMBINE TO CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL BE MOST ABLE TO FULLY REALIZE THE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY…BUT THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR TORNADIC STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO ATHENS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS…BUT DISCRETE CELLS IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL HAVE THE GREATEST RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL.

IN ADDITION TO ANY SEVERE WEATHER…HEAVY RAIN MAY YIELD THE HIGHEST ONE-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS IN MANY MONTHS. FLASH FLOODING MAY RESULT FROM THE HEAVY RAIN…PARTICULARLY IN THE WARM SECTOR WHERE DEEP MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR CONSIDERABLE PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES.

THE CONVECTION MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS THE FRONT SCOURS NORTH TEXAS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL BRING AN END TO THE SEVERE THREAT…THOUGH SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY LINGER INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

Oddly enough, early in the week a fear of wintry precipitation this weekend seemed to be the focus.  By midweek, the threat had shifted to heavy rain and flooding.

Now it’s dangerous severe weather, especially tornadoes and large hail?

And in February, no less, just like a few weeks ago?

This seems a better match to spring and autumn (mostly, although summer storms have a tremendous amount of heat and humidity to feed on and often grow severe in the blink of an eye).

It also reeks of the bizarre monsoon season we had last year, the one that never wanted to go away and that brought deadly flooding to the entire state.  For most of the year.

I like storms.  It just seems early for these kinds of outbreaks, especially more than one.

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